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Quentin Batalillon

General News 2024

Who will win the 2024 Copa America? Favorites, odds, prediction, expert picks for the South American football tournament

The Copa America 2024 builds to a highly anticipated opening as the South American Continental Championship travels north to the United States.

Ahead of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, to be held in the US in two years, CONMEBOL has decided to hold a special edition of the Copa America, inviting five CONCACAF participants to participate alongside the eleven member states.

Notably, the United States and Mexico will join the field along with South American giants Argentina and Brazil in a charged 16-nation competition that promises excitement, suspense and suspense.

World Cup hero Lionel Messi will lead defending champions Argentina to what they hope will be a third straight major title in six years, while the rest of the field will aim to dethrone the in-form Goliaths in what should be a truly memorable tournament.

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Chances to win the 2024 Copa America

As defending champions of both this competition and the FIFA World Cup, Argentina is a firm favorite to win the 2024 Copa America.

Fellow South American powerhouse Brazil also have a big chance to win, with a big gap between the top two and the rest of the field. In third place is Uruguay, who ran against both favorites in recent World Cup qualifiers, while host participants the US and Mexico are further back as joint fifth favourites.

Odds via Unibet AU. Last updated on June 16.

Nation Best finish Chance to win Chance to reach the final
Argentina Winner (15x, last 2021) 2.75 1.72
Brazil Winner (9x, last 2019) 3.25 1.90
Uruguay Winner (15x, last 2011) 6:00 am 3.75
Colombia Winner (2001) 13.00 5:00 am
Mexico Runners-up (2x, last 2001) 13.00 6:00 am
USA 4th (2x, last 2016) 13.00 7:00 am
Ecuador 4th (2x, last 1996) 5:00 PM 8:00 am
Chili Winner (2x, last 2016) 29:00 13.00
Peru Winner (2x, last 1975) 51:00 21.00 o’clock
Canada First appearance 67:00 21.00 o’clock
Paraguay Winner (2x, last 1979) 67:00 29:00
Venezuela 4th (2011) 67:00 29:00
Costa Rica Quarter-finals (2x, last 2004) 81:00 26:00
Jamaica Group stage (2x, last 2016) 151.0 51:00
Bolivia Winner (1963) 201.0 81:00
Panama Group stage (2016) 251.0 101.0

Copa America 2024 group stage odds

At the Copa America 2024, 16 teams are divided into four groups of four teams.

Qualifying for the knockout stages is simple: teams must finish in the top two of their groups to reach the quarter-finals. Unlike the European Championships, no third places reach the knockout stages. The top two of the group and you are in, the bottom two and you are out.

Odds via Unibet AU. Last updated on June 16.

group A

Nation Chance to win
Argentina 1.25
Chili 7.50
Canada 3 p.m
Peru 13.00

Argentina is a juggernaut, especially when Lionel Messi takes the field. But even if the 36-year-old doesn’t play, they still have the talent to make things right in the short term, at least when it comes to the group stages. The Albiceleste were assigned an extremely weak group of four teams early in the tournament, so they should have no trouble finishing with the maximum nine points.

Below that is a bigger question. Canada has too many problems both internally and on the field, and Peru is simply not a strong enough team at the moment. Chile is the best option to finish second with reasonable chances.

Prediction: Argentina wins group, Chile qualifies (-105

Group B

Nation Chance to win
Mexico 2.20
Ecuador 2.60
Venezuela 6.50
Jamaica 11am

Mexico is really in trouble here. Although they have been given a group without a strong semi-final candidate, there is no punching bag in this group either. El Tri are in a terrible run of form and have not had any form of consistency over the last four years, either from a player or coaching perspective.

Ecuador has been extremely strong in recent months. It has held Argentina to just one goal in its only World Cup qualifying defeat so far, beating Uruguay again in mid-September. Jamaica are no small feat either, coming agonizingly close to a sensational defeat to the United States in the Nations League in March after shocking Canada earlier in the competition.

If there is a top team that is in for a disappointing performance, it is Mexico. Without a clear punching bag in this group, they could find themselves on the wrong side of some unfavorable outcomes.

Prediction: Ecuador wins group, Jamaica qualifies

MORE: Copa America 2024 schedule

Group C

Nation Chance to win
Uruguay 1.75
USA 2.40
Panama 11 p.m
Bolivia 21.00 o’clock

The United States is in trouble here. While there is a clear talent gap between the top two and bottom two sides in Group C, meaning Uruguay and the USA will almost certainly qualify, there is very little room for error. Uruguay are currently in exceptional form after beating both Brazil and Argentina in World Cup qualifying last year.

To advance the USMNT, they must not dropping results against Panama or Bolivia. If they do that, it won’t matter if they beat Uruguay to top the group. At this point, Uruguay should be considered the favorite to win this group because they are simply better than the United States, both on paper and on the field.

Prediction: Uruguay wins group, US qualifies

Group D

Nation Chance to win
Brazil 1.40
Colombia 3.75
Paraguay 3 p.m
Costa Rica 26:00

Brazil showed in March that they are not to be trifled with by fighting hard in friendlies against England and Spain, but their competitive form has been dismal and they sit sixth in the World Cup qualifying standings after six games.

Colombia, on the other hand, is moving in the opposite direction. Los Cafeteros play a physical style of football and have done exceptionally well in limiting their opponents’ chances while capitalizing on their own. Brazil should work their way through the group, but Colombia will be up for the challenge of beating them into first place.

Prediction: Colombia wins group, Brazil qualifies

Copa America predictions for the 2024 CONMEBOL title

Winner: Argentina

At the moment, this tournament is for Argentina, as defending champions of both the Copa America and the World Cup, to lose. Lionel Messi continues to prove he still has a lot to offer at Inter Miami, breaking down the MLS competition on a weekly basis, and around him is a squad without any weaknesses.

Players like Alexis Mac Allister, Rodrigo De Paul and Julian Alvarez are in great club form, and even the likes of Gio Lo Celso and Nico Gonzalez look set to step up as they join the national team. Only Lautaro Martinez is struggling with a dip in form at national team level, while everyone else is coming together as one strong unit.

Lionel Scaloni is a world-class coach, and he has kept this team together even as rumors of his possible departure continue to swirl. They should triumph again with relatively little drama.

Dark horse: Uruguay

No South American team is better prepared for an upset in this tournament than Uruguay. Led by Marcelo Bielsa, Uruguay defeated both Brazil and Argentina in World Cup qualifying last fall as La Celeste kicked into gear.

Like Argentina, Uruguay has a host of players who appear to be improving their performances at national team level compared to their clubs, such as Matias Vecino, Manuel Ugarte and Facundo Pellistri. The presence of Fede Valverde will be an asset for this side, and Ronald Araujo leads a suffocating defense that can play both physically and in possession.

Uruguay could very easily emerge from the Brazil/USA side to meet Argentina in the final, and after beating the reigning World Cup champions last fall, they will be a formidable opponent and one who could pave the way back to the top can find. of the South American pecking order.

Stay away from: Brazil

Brazil has never been so beatable. The Selecao appeared to show signs of a turnaround by beating England and drawing with Spain in two European friendlies in March, but they still have key issues to resolve. They were almost beaten by Mexico in their first friendly warm-up in June, but were then held to a 1-1 draw against the United States, indicating that the problems continue.

Most of their problems came defensively, with Eder Militao only just returning from an ACL tear at the end of the club season, Ederson lost to injury and captain Marquinhos on the wrong side of 30. Casemiro was left out of the selection due to a setback at Manchester United, Neymar is out injured and striker Vinicius Jr. proving he is not letting his level drop with the national team, with just three international goals in 28 appearances.

As second favorites in a competition where Argentina was expected to win even if Brazil were close to full strength, there is no value in backing a weakened Brazil at odds of just over 2/1. If they want to reach the final, they are expected to have to overcome at least two matches in Uruguay, Colombia and hosts United States. At this point, it wouldn’t be a shock to see them upset by any of these three, and beating the defending champions in the finals would require a minor miracle.